Exagen Inc Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

XGN Stock  USD 3.84  0.10  2.54%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Exagen Inc. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Exagen over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Exagen's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Exagen's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
1.04
Alpha
0.37
Risk
5.28
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Expected Return
0.58
Please note that although Exagen alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Exagen did 0.37  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Exagen Inc stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Exagen Inc has a beta of 1.04  . Exagen returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Exagen is expected to follow. At this time, Exagen's Book Value Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of November 2024, Tangible Book Value Per Share is likely to grow to 1.35, while Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is likely to drop (1.23).

Enterprise Value

27.94 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Exagen Backtesting, Exagen Valuation, Exagen Correlation, Exagen Hype Analysis, Exagen Volatility, Exagen History and analyze Exagen Performance.

Exagen Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Exagen market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Exagen long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Exagen. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Exagen's performance over market.
α0.37   β1.04

Exagen expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Exagen's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Exagen performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Exagen Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Exagen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Exagen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Exagen stock market price indicators, traders can identify Exagen position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Exagen Return and Market Media

The median price of Exagen for the period between Sat, Aug 31, 2024 and Fri, Nov 29, 2024 is 2.9 with a coefficient of variation of 13.18. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 0.39, arithmetic mean of 2.97, and mean deviation of 0.26. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Improved Revenues Required Before Exagen Inc. Stocks 40 percent Jump Looks Justified
09/06/2024
2
Exagen Inc. Short Interest Up 20.9 percent in September
09/30/2024
3
Acquisition by Birk Brian of 9000 shares of Exagen subject to Rule 16b-3
10/25/2024
4
Exagen Inc. Reports Q3 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates
11/12/2024
5
Exagen Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
11/13/2024
6
Exagen Releases Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By 0.02 EPS
11/14/2024
7
Acquisition by Jeffrey Black of 22298 shares of Exagen at 2.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/15/2024
8
Disposition of 200000 shares by Nmsic Co-investment Fund, L.p. of Exagen at 3.3002 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2024
9
Exagen CEO, President Director Acquires 7.7 percent More Stock
11/21/2024

About Exagen Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Exagen or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Exagen Inc has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0190.0169
Price To Sales Ratio0.670.64

Exagen Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Exagen's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Exagen's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Exagen's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Exagen. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Exagen's management manipulating its earnings.
18th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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20th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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18th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Align your risk with return expectations

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
When determining whether Exagen Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Exagen's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Exagen Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Exagen Inc Stock:
Check out Exagen Backtesting, Exagen Valuation, Exagen Correlation, Exagen Hype Analysis, Exagen Volatility, Exagen History and analyze Exagen Performance.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Exagen technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Exagen technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Exagen trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...