Warrior Met Coal Corporate Bonds and Leverage Analysis

HCC Stock  USD 70.32  0.02  0.03%   
Warrior Met Coal holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.295. At present, Warrior Met's Debt To Equity is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Debt Equity Ratio is expected to grow to 0.14, whereas Net Debt is projected to grow to (536.7 M). With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Warrior Met's Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Warrior Met's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Warrior Met's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Warrior Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Warrior Met's stakeholders.
For most companies, including Warrior Met, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Warrior Met Coal, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Warrior Met's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
1.7627
Book Value
39.892
Operating Margin
0.1197
Profit Margin
0.2375
Return On Assets
0.1024
The current year's Non Current Liabilities Total is expected to grow to about 435.5 M, whereas Total Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 132.5 M.
  
Check out the analysis of Warrior Met Fundamentals Over Time.
View Bond Profile
Given the importance of Warrior Met's capital structure, the first step in the capital decision process is for the management of Warrior Met to decide how much external capital it will need to raise to operate in a sustainable way. Once the amount of financing is determined, management needs to examine the financial markets to determine the terms in which the company can boost capital. This move is crucial to the process because the market environment may reduce the ability of Warrior Met Coal to issue bonds at a reasonable cost.

Warrior Met Bond Ratings

Warrior Met Coal financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Warrior Met have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Warrior Met's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
6
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(2.75)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Warrior Met Coal Debt to Cash Allocation

As Warrior Met Coal follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. Warrior Met's decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors.
Warrior Met Coal has 173.24 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.3, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Warrior Met Coal has a current ratio of 7.56, demonstrating that it is liquid and is capable to disburse its financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Warrior to invest in growth at high rates of return.

Warrior Met Total Assets Over Time

Warrior Met Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Warrior Met uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Warrior Met Debt Ratio

    
  6.63   
It looks as if most of the Warrior Met's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Warrior Met's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Warrior Met, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Warrior Met Corporate Bonds Issued

Most Warrior bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Warrior Met Coal has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Warrior Net Debt

Net Debt

(536.71 Million)

At present, Warrior Met's Net Debt is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Understaning Warrior Met Use of Financial Leverage

Warrior Met's financial leverage ratio helps determine the effect of debt on the overall profitability of the company. It measures Warrior Met's total debt position, including all outstanding debt obligations, and compares it with Warrior Met's equity. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Warrior Met's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if Warrior Met is unable to cover its debt costs.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Net Debt-565 M-536.7 M
Long Term Debt153 M145.4 M
Short and Long Term Debt684 K649.8 K
Short Term Debt22.9 M21.8 M
Short and Long Term Debt Total173.2 M345.9 M
Long Term Debt Total358.3 M347.4 M
Net Debt To EBITDA(0.81)(0.77)
Debt To Equity 0.09  0.14 
Interest Debt Per Share 3.51  3.33 
Debt To Assets 0.07  0.07 
Long Term Debt To Capitalization 0.08  0.07 
Total Debt To Capitalization 0.08  0.08 
Debt Equity Ratio 0.09  0.14 
Debt Ratio 0.07  0.07 
Cash Flow To Debt Ratio 4.26  4.48 
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When determining whether Warrior Met Coal offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Warrior Met's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Warrior Met Coal Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Warrior Met Coal Stock:
Check out the analysis of Warrior Met Fundamentals Over Time.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Warrior Met. If investors know Warrior will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Warrior Met listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.51)
Dividend Share
0.31
Earnings Share
7.26
Revenue Per Share
30.554
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.23)
The market value of Warrior Met Coal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Warrior that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Warrior Met's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Warrior Met's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Warrior Met's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Warrior Met's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Warrior Met's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Warrior Met is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Warrior Met's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

What is Financial Leverage?

Financial leverage is the use of borrowed money (debt) to finance the purchase of assets with the expectation that the income or capital gain from the new asset will exceed the cost of borrowing. In most cases, the debt provider will limit how much risk it is ready to take and indicate a limit on the extent of the leverage it will allow. In the case of asset-backed lending, the financial provider uses the assets as collateral until the borrower repays the loan. In the case of a cash flow loan, the general creditworthiness of the company is used to back the loan. The concept of leverage is common in the business world. It is mostly used to boost the returns on equity capital of a company, especially when the business is unable to increase its operating efficiency and returns on total investment. Because earnings on borrowing are higher than the interest payable on debt, the company's total earnings will increase, ultimately boosting stockholders' profits.

Leverage and Capital Costs

The debt to equity ratio plays a role in the working average cost of capital (WACC). The overall interest on debt represents the break-even point that must be obtained to profitability in a given venture. Thus, WACC is essentially the average interest an organization owes on the capital it has borrowed for leverage. Let's say equity represents 60% of borrowed capital, and debt is 40%. This results in a financial leverage calculation of 40/60, or 0.6667. The organization owes 10% on all equity and 5% on all debt. That means that the weighted average cost of capital is (.4)(5) + (.6)(10) - or 8%. For every $10,000 borrowed, this organization will owe $800 in interest. Profit must be higher than 8% on the project to offset the cost of interest and justify this leverage.

Benefits of Financial Leverage

Leverage provides the following benefits for companies:
  • Leverage is an essential tool a company's management can use to make the best financing and investment decisions.
  • It provides a variety of financing sources by which the firm can achieve its target earnings.
  • Leverage is also an essential technique in investing as it helps companies set a threshold for the expansion of business operations. For example, it can be used to recommend restrictions on business expansion once the projected return on additional investment is lower than the cost of debt.
By borrowing funds, the firm incurs a debt that must be paid. But, this debt is paid in small installments over a relatively long period of time. This frees funds for more immediate use in the stock market. For example, suppose a company can afford a new factory but will be left with negligible free cash. In that case, it may be better to finance the factory and spend the cash on hand on inputs, labor, or even hold a significant portion as a reserve against unforeseen circumstances.

The Risk of Financial Leverage

The most obvious and apparent risk of leverage is that if price changes unexpectedly, the leveraged position can lead to severe losses. For example, imagine a hedge fund seeded by $50 worth of investor money. The hedge fund borrows another $50 and buys an asset worth $100, leading to a leverage ratio of 2:1. For the investor, this is neither good nor bad -- until the asset price changes. If the asset price goes up 10 percent, the investor earns $10 on $50 of capital, a net gain of 20 percent, and is very pleased with the increased gains from the leverage. However, if the asset price crashes unexpectedly, say by 30 percent, the investor loses $30 on $50 of capital, suffering a 60 percent loss. In other words, the effect of leverage is to increase the volatility of returns and increase the effects of a price change on the asset to the bottom line while increasing the chance for profit as well.