LabGenomics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

084650 Stock  KRW 2,690  75.00  2.71%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LabGenomics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2,940 with a mean absolute deviation of 107.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,555. LabGenomics Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LabGenomics stock prices and determine the direction of LabGenomics Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LabGenomics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for LabGenomics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of LabGenomics Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

LabGenomics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of LabGenomics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2,940 with a mean absolute deviation of 107.45, mean absolute percentage error of 17,163, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,555.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LabGenomics Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LabGenomics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LabGenomics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LabGenomicsLabGenomics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LabGenomics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LabGenomics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LabGenomics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,935 and 2,945, respectively. We have considered LabGenomics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,690
2,940
Expected Value
2,945
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LabGenomics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LabGenomics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.861
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation107.4509
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0348
SAESum of the absolute errors6554.5038
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of LabGenomics Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict LabGenomics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for LabGenomics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LabGenomics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,6852,6902,695
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,4482,4532,959
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,6022,7062,811
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LabGenomics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LabGenomics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LabGenomics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LabGenomics.

Other Forecasting Options for LabGenomics

For every potential investor in LabGenomics, whether a beginner or expert, LabGenomics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LabGenomics Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LabGenomics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LabGenomics' price trends.

LabGenomics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LabGenomics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LabGenomics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LabGenomics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LabGenomics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LabGenomics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LabGenomics' current price.

LabGenomics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LabGenomics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LabGenomics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LabGenomics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LabGenomics Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LabGenomics Risk Indicators

The analysis of LabGenomics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LabGenomics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting labgenomics stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with LabGenomics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if LabGenomics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in LabGenomics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with LabGenomics Stock

  0.63223250 DreamCISPairCorr
  0.62098460 Koh Young TechnologyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to LabGenomics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace LabGenomics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back LabGenomics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling LabGenomics Co to buy it.
The correlation of LabGenomics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as LabGenomics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if LabGenomics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for LabGenomics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in LabGenomics Stock

LabGenomics financial ratios help investors to determine whether LabGenomics Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LabGenomics with respect to the benefits of owning LabGenomics security.