RBC European Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

0P00018PVY  CAD 13.41  0.14  1.06%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RBC European Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 13.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.91. RBC Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast RBC European stock prices and determine the direction of RBC European Mid Cap's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RBC European's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for RBC European is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of RBC European Mid Cap value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

RBC European Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RBC European Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 13.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RBC Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RBC European's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RBC European Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest RBC EuropeanRBC European Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

RBC European Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RBC European's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RBC European's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.53 and 14.00, respectively. We have considered RBC European's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.41
13.27
Expected Value
14.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RBC European fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RBC European fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.8846
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.097
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.007
SAESum of the absolute errors5.9144
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of RBC European Mid Cap. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict RBC European. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for RBC European

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RBC European Mid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.6813.4114.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7813.5114.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.0713.6514.24
Details

Other Forecasting Options for RBC European

For every potential investor in RBC, whether a beginner or expert, RBC European's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RBC Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RBC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RBC European's price trends.

RBC European Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RBC European fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RBC European could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RBC European by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RBC European Mid Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RBC European's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RBC European's current price.

RBC European Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RBC European fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RBC European shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RBC European fund market strength indicators, traders can identify RBC European Mid Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RBC European Risk Indicators

The analysis of RBC European's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RBC European's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rbc fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with RBC European

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if RBC European position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in RBC European will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against RBC Fund

  0.70P000075FV Fidelity Canadian GrowthPairCorr
  0.650P00007065 RBC mondial dnergiePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to RBC European could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace RBC European when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back RBC European - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling RBC European Mid Cap to buy it.
The correlation of RBC European is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as RBC European moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if RBC European Mid moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for RBC European can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in RBC Fund

RBC European financial ratios help investors to determine whether RBC Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RBC with respect to the benefits of owning RBC European security.
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