Kworld Computer Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 3287 Stock | TWD 33.95 0.80 2.41% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kworld Computer Co on the next trading day is expected to be 33.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.70. Kworld Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Kworld |
Kworld Computer Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kworld Computer Co on the next trading day is expected to be 33.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 1.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kworld Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kworld Computer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kworld Computer Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kworld Computer | Kworld Computer Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kworld Computer Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kworld Computer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kworld Computer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.08 and 35.72, respectively. We have considered Kworld Computer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kworld Computer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kworld Computer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.251 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9468 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0256 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 58.7001 |
Predictive Modules for Kworld Computer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kworld Computer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Kworld Computer
For every potential investor in Kworld, whether a beginner or expert, Kworld Computer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kworld Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kworld. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kworld Computer's price trends.Kworld Computer Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kworld Computer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kworld Computer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kworld Computer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kworld Computer Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kworld Computer's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kworld Computer's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kworld Computer Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kworld Computer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kworld Computer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kworld Computer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kworld Computer Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kworld Computer Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kworld Computer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kworld Computer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kworld stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Variance | 5.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Kworld Computer
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Kworld Computer position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Kworld Computer will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Kworld Stock
Moving against Kworld Stock
| 0.44 | 2881A | Fubon Financial Holding | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | 3224 | MetaTech AP | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | 2882B | Cathay Financial Holding | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | 2881B | Fubon Financial Holding | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | 2603 | Evergreen Marine Corp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Kworld Computer could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Kworld Computer when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Kworld Computer - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Kworld Computer Co to buy it.
The correlation of Kworld Computer is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Kworld Computer moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Kworld Computer moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Kworld Computer can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Kworld Stock Analysis
When running Kworld Computer's price analysis, check to measure Kworld Computer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kworld Computer is operating at the current time. Most of Kworld Computer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kworld Computer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kworld Computer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kworld Computer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.