Amarantus Bioscience Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

AMBS Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Amarantus Bioscience Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000095 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Amarantus Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Amarantus Bioscience is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Amarantus Bioscience Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Amarantus Bioscience Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Amarantus Bioscience Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000095, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amarantus Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amarantus Bioscience's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amarantus Bioscience Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Amarantus BioscienceAmarantus Bioscience Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Amarantus Bioscience Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amarantus Bioscience's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amarantus Bioscience's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 130.83, respectively. We have considered Amarantus Bioscience's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
130.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amarantus Bioscience pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amarantus Bioscience pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.483
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.6172
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0059
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Amarantus Bioscience Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Amarantus Bioscience. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Amarantus Bioscience

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amarantus Bioscience. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00009650.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000250.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amarantus Bioscience. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amarantus Bioscience's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amarantus Bioscience's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amarantus Bioscience.

Other Forecasting Options for Amarantus Bioscience

For every potential investor in Amarantus, whether a beginner or expert, Amarantus Bioscience's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amarantus Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amarantus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amarantus Bioscience's price trends.

Amarantus Bioscience Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amarantus Bioscience pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amarantus Bioscience could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amarantus Bioscience by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amarantus Bioscience Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amarantus Bioscience's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amarantus Bioscience's current price.

Amarantus Bioscience Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amarantus Bioscience pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amarantus Bioscience shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amarantus Bioscience pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Amarantus Bioscience Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amarantus Bioscience Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amarantus Bioscience's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amarantus Bioscience's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amarantus pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Amarantus Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Amarantus Bioscience's price analysis, check to measure Amarantus Bioscience's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amarantus Bioscience is operating at the current time. Most of Amarantus Bioscience's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amarantus Bioscience's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amarantus Bioscience's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amarantus Bioscience to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.