PT Berkah OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BHBSY Stock  USD 0.40  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PT Berkah Beton on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. BHBSY OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for PT Berkah is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of PT Berkah Beton value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

PT Berkah Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PT Berkah Beton on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BHBSY OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PT Berkah's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PT Berkah OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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PT Berkah Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PT Berkah's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PT Berkah's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.40 and 0.40, respectively. We have considered PT Berkah's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.40
0.40
Expected Value
0.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PT Berkah otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PT Berkah otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria48.4828
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of PT Berkah Beton. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict PT Berkah. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for PT Berkah

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Berkah Beton. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PT Berkah's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.400.400.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.340.340.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PT Berkah

For every potential investor in BHBSY, whether a beginner or expert, PT Berkah's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BHBSY OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BHBSY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PT Berkah's price trends.

PT Berkah Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PT Berkah otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PT Berkah could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PT Berkah by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PT Berkah Beton Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PT Berkah's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PT Berkah's current price.

PT Berkah Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PT Berkah otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PT Berkah shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PT Berkah otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PT Berkah Beton entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for BHBSY OTC Stock Analysis

When running PT Berkah's price analysis, check to measure PT Berkah's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PT Berkah is operating at the current time. Most of PT Berkah's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PT Berkah's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PT Berkah's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PT Berkah to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.