Banyan Tree Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BYNEF Stock  USD 0.0008  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banyan Tree Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be -0.0016 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07. Banyan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Banyan Tree's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Banyan Tree is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Banyan Tree Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Banyan Tree Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banyan Tree Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be -0.0016 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000305, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banyan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banyan Tree's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banyan Tree Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Banyan Tree Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Banyan Tree's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banyan Tree's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000008 and -0.0016, respectively. We have considered Banyan Tree's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0008
0.000008
Downside
-0.0016
Expected Value
-0.0016
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banyan Tree pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banyan Tree pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.4105
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0011
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.7953
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0688
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Banyan Tree Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Banyan Tree. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Banyan Tree

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banyan Tree Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banyan Tree's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00080.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00080.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00080.00080.0008
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Banyan Tree

For every potential investor in Banyan, whether a beginner or expert, Banyan Tree's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banyan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banyan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banyan Tree's price trends.

Banyan Tree Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banyan Tree pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banyan Tree could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banyan Tree by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banyan Tree Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Banyan Tree's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Banyan Tree's current price.

Banyan Tree Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banyan Tree pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banyan Tree shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banyan Tree pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Banyan Tree Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Banyan Tree Risk Indicators

The analysis of Banyan Tree's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banyan Tree's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banyan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Banyan Pink Sheet

Banyan Tree financial ratios help investors to determine whether Banyan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Banyan with respect to the benefits of owning Banyan Tree security.