Cannae Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CNNE Stock  USD 21.12  0.35  1.69%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cannae Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 19.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.70. Cannae Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cannae Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Cannae Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cannae Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 4.44, whereas Inventory Turnover is projected to grow to (75.45). . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 73.9 M, whereas Net Loss is projected to grow to (366 M).

Cannae Holdings Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Cannae Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-03-31
Previous Quarter
45.7 M
Current Value
160.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
199.2 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Cannae Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cannae Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cannae Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cannae Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 19.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cannae Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cannae Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cannae Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cannae HoldingsCannae Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cannae Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cannae Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cannae Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.32 and 21.60, respectively. We have considered Cannae Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.12
19.96
Expected Value
21.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cannae Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cannae Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1563
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3066
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0156
SAESum of the absolute errors18.7026
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cannae Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cannae Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cannae Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cannae Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.4921.1322.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.0126.1927.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.7319.7021.68
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.9831.8535.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cannae Holdings

For every potential investor in Cannae, whether a beginner or expert, Cannae Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cannae Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cannae. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cannae Holdings' price trends.

Cannae Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cannae Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cannae Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cannae Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cannae Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cannae Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cannae Holdings' current price.

Cannae Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cannae Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cannae Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cannae Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cannae Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cannae Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cannae Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cannae Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cannae stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Cannae Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cannae Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cannae Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cannae Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cannae Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Cannae Stock refer to our How to Trade Cannae Stock guide.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Multi-Sector Holdings space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cannae Holdings. If investors know Cannae will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cannae Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.67)
Dividend Share
0.24
Earnings Share
(4.90)
Revenue Per Share
6.962
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
The market value of Cannae Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cannae that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cannae Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cannae Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cannae Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cannae Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cannae Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cannae Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cannae Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.