Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CYCC Stock | USD 0.41 0.06 17.14% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.66. Cyclacel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals stock prices and determine the direction of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Cyclacel |
Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2003-12-31 | Previous Quarter 6 M | Current Value 3 M | Quarterly Volatility 12.9 M |
Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cyclacel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern
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Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.64, respectively. We have considered Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.682 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0752 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1053 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.6639 |
Predictive Modules for Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals
For every potential investor in Cyclacel, whether a beginner or expert, Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cyclacel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cyclacel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' price trends.View Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cyclacel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.89 | |||
| Variance | 62.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Cyclacel Stock refer to our How to Trade Cyclacel Stock guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Cyclacel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (27.40) | Revenue Per Share 0.044 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.99) | Return On Assets (1.03) | Return On Equity (5.71) |
The market value of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cyclacel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.