DTC Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| DTCDelisted Stock | USD 0.04 0.05 53.07% |
DTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast DTC Old stock prices and determine the direction of DTC Old's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DTC Old's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of DTC Old's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 19
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using DTC Old hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DTC Old from the perspective of DTC Old response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DTC Old on the next trading day is expected to be -0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.67. DTC Old after-hype prediction price | $ 0.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
DTC |
DTC Old Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DTC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DTC using various technical indicators. When you analyze DTC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
DTC Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of DTC Old on the next trading day is expected to be -0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DTC Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DTC Old Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DTC Old | DTC Old Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DTC Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DTC Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.6249 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0438 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1612 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.6698 |
Predictive Modules for DTC Old
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DTC Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DTC Old's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DTC Old After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DTC Old at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DTC Old or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DTC Old, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DTC Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DTC Old's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DTC Old's historical news coverage. DTC Old's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 0.05, respectively. We have considered DTC Old's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DTC Old is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DTC Old is based on 3 months time horizon.
DTC Old Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DTC Old is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DTC Old backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DTC Old, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.04 | 0.04 | 4.99 |
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DTC Old Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January DTC Old is traded for 0.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. DTC is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -4.99%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on DTC Old is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.03. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. DTC Old has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.57. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.94. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.DTC Old Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DTC Old's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DTC Old's future price movements. Getting to know how DTC Old's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DTC Old may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SSUNF | SIGNA Sports United | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DBGI | Digital Brands Group | 0.49 | 7 per month | 8.62 | 0.03 | 12.72 | (12.56) | 48.10 | |
| TBHC | The Brand House | 0.16 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.79 | (6.52) | 15.74 | |
| BFXXQ | BowFlex | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CZOO | Cazoo Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LL | LL Flooring Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HLBZ | Helbiz Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SOLO | Electrameccanica Vehicles Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SEGG | Lottery | (1.81) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 21.43 | (14.59) | 89.71 | |
| BOXD | Boxed Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
DTC Old Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DTC Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DTC Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DTC Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DTC Old Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DTC Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DTC Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DTC Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DTC Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DTC Old Risk Indicators
The analysis of DTC Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DTC Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dtc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.9 | |||
| Variance | 141.69 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DTC Old
The number of cover stories for DTC Old depends on current market conditions and DTC Old's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DTC Old is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DTC Old's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DTC Old Short Properties
DTC Old's future price predictability will typically decrease when DTC Old's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DTC Old often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DTC Old's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DTC Old's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12 M |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in DTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in DTC Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the DTC Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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