Genomic Vision Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

G09 Stock  EUR 707.37  3.80  0.53%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genomic Vision Socit on the next trading day is expected to be 685.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 584.81. Genomic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Genomic Vision's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Genomic Vision is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Genomic Vision Socit value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Genomic Vision Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genomic Vision Socit on the next trading day is expected to be 685.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.43, mean absolute percentage error of 141.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 584.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genomic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genomic Vision's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Genomic Vision Stock Forecast Pattern

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Genomic Vision Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Genomic Vision's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Genomic Vision's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 684.79 and 687.17, respectively. We have considered Genomic Vision's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
707.37
684.79
Downside
685.98
Expected Value
687.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genomic Vision stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genomic Vision stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.8979
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.4324
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors584.8086
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Genomic Vision Socit. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Genomic Vision. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Genomic Vision

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genomic Vision Socit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
706.19707.37708.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
600.08601.26778.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
696.04728.80761.55
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Genomic Vision

For every potential investor in Genomic, whether a beginner or expert, Genomic Vision's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genomic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genomic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genomic Vision's price trends.

Genomic Vision Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genomic Vision stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genomic Vision could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genomic Vision by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Genomic Vision Socit Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Genomic Vision's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Genomic Vision's current price.

Genomic Vision Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genomic Vision stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genomic Vision shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genomic Vision stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genomic Vision Socit entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Genomic Vision Risk Indicators

The analysis of Genomic Vision's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genomic Vision's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genomic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Genomic Stock

Genomic Vision financial ratios help investors to determine whether Genomic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Genomic with respect to the benefits of owning Genomic Vision security.