Guangdong Investment Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GGDVY Stock | USD 31.00 1.04 3.47% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guangdong Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 30.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.54. Guangdong Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Guangdong |
Guangdong Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guangdong Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 30.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98, mean absolute percentage error of 1.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guangdong Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guangdong Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Guangdong Investment Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Guangdong Investment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Guangdong Investment's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guangdong Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.81 and 35.27, respectively. We have considered Guangdong Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guangdong Investment pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guangdong Investment pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7226 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9761 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0309 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 59.5413 |
Predictive Modules for Guangdong Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangdong Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guangdong Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Guangdong Investment
For every potential investor in Guangdong, whether a beginner or expert, Guangdong Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guangdong Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guangdong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guangdong Investment's price trends.Guangdong Investment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guangdong Investment pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guangdong Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guangdong Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Guangdong Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guangdong Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guangdong Investment's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Guangdong Investment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guangdong Investment pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guangdong Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guangdong Investment pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Guangdong Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 31.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 31.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.52 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.04 |
Guangdong Investment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Guangdong Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guangdong Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guangdong pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.24 | |||
| Variance | 27.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 44.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Guangdong Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Guangdong Investment's price analysis, check to measure Guangdong Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guangdong Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Guangdong Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guangdong Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guangdong Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guangdong Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.