Gaming Innovation Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GIGSEK Stock  SEK 24.80  0.50  2.06%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gaming Innovation Group on the next trading day is expected to be 24.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.55. Gaming Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gaming Innovation stock prices and determine the direction of Gaming Innovation Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gaming Innovation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Gaming Innovation is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Gaming Innovation Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Gaming Innovation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gaming Innovation Group on the next trading day is expected to be 24.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gaming Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gaming Innovation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gaming Innovation Stock Forecast Pattern

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Gaming Innovation Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gaming Innovation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gaming Innovation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.28 and 26.86, respectively. We have considered Gaming Innovation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.80
24.57
Expected Value
26.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gaming Innovation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gaming Innovation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1612
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4844
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0188
SAESum of the absolute errors29.5507
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Gaming Innovation Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Gaming Innovation. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Gaming Innovation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gaming Innovation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gaming Innovation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.5124.8027.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6525.9428.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.4224.8125.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gaming Innovation

For every potential investor in Gaming, whether a beginner or expert, Gaming Innovation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gaming Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gaming. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gaming Innovation's price trends.

Gaming Innovation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gaming Innovation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gaming Innovation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gaming Innovation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gaming Innovation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gaming Innovation's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gaming Innovation's current price.

Gaming Innovation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gaming Innovation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gaming Innovation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gaming Innovation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gaming Innovation Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gaming Innovation Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gaming Innovation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gaming Innovation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gaming stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Gaming Stock

Gaming Innovation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gaming Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gaming with respect to the benefits of owning Gaming Innovation security.