Galexxy Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

GXXY Stock  USD 0.01  0  16.91%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Galexxy Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15. Galexxy Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Galexxy Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Galexxy Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Galexxy Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Galexxy Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000969, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Galexxy Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Galexxy Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Galexxy Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Galexxy HoldingsGalexxy Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Galexxy Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Galexxy Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Galexxy Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 9.35, respectively. We have considered Galexxy Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
9.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Galexxy Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Galexxy Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.5656
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0024
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0952
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1459
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Galexxy Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Galexxy Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Galexxy Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galexxy Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Galexxy Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.019.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.019.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Galexxy Holdings

For every potential investor in Galexxy, whether a beginner or expert, Galexxy Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Galexxy Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Galexxy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Galexxy Holdings' price trends.

Galexxy Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Galexxy Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Galexxy Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Galexxy Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Galexxy Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Galexxy Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Galexxy Holdings' current price.

Galexxy Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Galexxy Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Galexxy Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Galexxy Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Galexxy Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Galexxy Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Galexxy Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Galexxy Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting galexxy pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Galexxy Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Galexxy Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Galexxy Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galexxy Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Galexxy Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galexxy Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galexxy Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galexxy Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.