Hargreaves Lansdown Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| HL Stock | 1,093 2.00 0.18% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hargreaves Lansdown plc on the next trading day is expected to be 1,092 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.14. Hargreaves Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hargreaves Lansdown stock prices and determine the direction of Hargreaves Lansdown plc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hargreaves Lansdown's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Hargreaves |
Hargreaves Lansdown Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hargreaves Lansdown plc on the next trading day is expected to be 1,092 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23, mean absolute percentage error of 2.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hargreaves Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hargreaves Lansdown's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hargreaves Lansdown Stock Forecast Pattern
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Hargreaves Lansdown Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hargreaves Lansdown's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hargreaves Lansdown's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,092 and 1,092, respectively. We have considered Hargreaves Lansdown's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hargreaves Lansdown stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hargreaves Lansdown stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9637 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2319 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.1438 |
Predictive Modules for Hargreaves Lansdown
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hargreaves Lansdown plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Hargreaves Lansdown
For every potential investor in Hargreaves, whether a beginner or expert, Hargreaves Lansdown's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hargreaves Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hargreaves. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hargreaves Lansdown's price trends.Hargreaves Lansdown Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hargreaves Lansdown stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hargreaves Lansdown could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hargreaves Lansdown by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hargreaves Lansdown plc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hargreaves Lansdown's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hargreaves Lansdown's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Hargreaves Lansdown Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hargreaves Lansdown stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hargreaves Lansdown shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hargreaves Lansdown stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hargreaves Lansdown plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hargreaves Lansdown Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hargreaves Lansdown's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hargreaves Lansdown's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hargreaves stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1361 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0584 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2025 | |||
| Variance | 0.041 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0553 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0034 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Hargreaves Stock
Hargreaves Lansdown financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hargreaves Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hargreaves with respect to the benefits of owning Hargreaves Lansdown security.