Fusion Fuel Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| HTOO Stock | USD 0.32 0.03 10.34% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fusion Fuel Green on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.81. Fusion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Fusion Fuel's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fusion Fuel's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fusion Fuel fundamentals over time.
Fusion |
Fusion Fuel Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Fusion Fuel's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.1 M | Current Value 1.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 14.9 M |
Fusion Fuel Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fusion Fuel Green on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fusion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fusion Fuel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fusion Fuel Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fusion Fuel | Fusion Fuel Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fusion Fuel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fusion Fuel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fusion Fuel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 10.53, respectively. We have considered Fusion Fuel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fusion Fuel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fusion Fuel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.812 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0297 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0541 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.8145 |
Predictive Modules for Fusion Fuel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fusion Fuel Green. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Fusion Fuel
For every potential investor in Fusion, whether a beginner or expert, Fusion Fuel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fusion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fusion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fusion Fuel's price trends.Fusion Fuel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fusion Fuel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fusion Fuel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fusion Fuel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fusion Fuel Green Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fusion Fuel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fusion Fuel's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Fusion Fuel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fusion Fuel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fusion Fuel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fusion Fuel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fusion Fuel Green entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 44056.97 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.1 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.03 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
Fusion Fuel Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fusion Fuel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fusion Fuel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fusion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.01 | |||
| Variance | 100.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Fusion Fuel Green is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fusion Fuel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fusion Fuel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fusion Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fusion Fuel to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fusion Fuel. If investors know Fusion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fusion Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.26) | Revenue Per Share 0.283 | Return On Assets (0.37) | Return On Equity (1.93) |
The market value of Fusion Fuel Green is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fusion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fusion Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fusion Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fusion Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fusion Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fusion Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fusion Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fusion Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.