Imagicaaworld Entertainment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IMAGICAA | 72.87 0.37 0.51% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Imagicaaworld Entertainment Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 74.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.86. Imagicaaworld Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock prices and determine the direction of Imagicaaworld Entertainment Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Imagicaaworld Entertainment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Imagicaaworld |
Imagicaaworld Entertainment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Imagicaaworld Entertainment Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 74.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52, mean absolute percentage error of 4.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Imagicaaworld Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Imagicaaworld Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Imagicaaworld Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern
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Imagicaaworld Entertainment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Imagicaaworld Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Imagicaaworld Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.96 and 76.73, respectively. We have considered Imagicaaworld Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5018 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5223 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0194 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 92.8592 |
Predictive Modules for Imagicaaworld Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imagicaaworld Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Imagicaaworld Entertainment
For every potential investor in Imagicaaworld, whether a beginner or expert, Imagicaaworld Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Imagicaaworld Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Imagicaaworld. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Imagicaaworld Entertainment's price trends.Imagicaaworld Entertainment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Imagicaaworld Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Imagicaaworld Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Imagicaaworld Entertainment Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Imagicaaworld Entertainment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Imagicaaworld Entertainment's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Imagicaaworld Entertainment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Imagicaaworld Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Imagicaaworld Entertainment Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Imagicaaworld Entertainment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Imagicaaworld Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Imagicaaworld Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imagicaaworld stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Variance | 5.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Imagicaaworld Stock
Imagicaaworld Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Imagicaaworld Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Imagicaaworld with respect to the benefits of owning Imagicaaworld Entertainment security.