Kolibri Global OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KGEIFDelisted Stock  USD 4.49  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kolibri Global Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 4.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.68. Kolibri OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kolibri Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Kolibri Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kolibri Global Energy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kolibri Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kolibri Global Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 4.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kolibri OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kolibri Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kolibri Global OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kolibri GlobalKolibri Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kolibri Global otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kolibri Global otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.2072
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1095
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0278
SAESum of the absolute errors6.6789
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kolibri Global Energy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kolibri Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kolibri Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kolibri Global Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.494.494.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.653.654.94
Details

Kolibri Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kolibri Global otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kolibri Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kolibri Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kolibri Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kolibri Global otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kolibri Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kolibri Global otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kolibri Global Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kolibri Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kolibri Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kolibri Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kolibri otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Kolibri OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Kolibri Global Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Kolibri Global's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance