Orthopediatrics Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KIDS Stock  USD 18.60  0.14  0.75%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Orthopediatrics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 19.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.60. Orthopediatrics Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Orthopediatrics Corp's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Orthopediatrics Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Orthopediatrics Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Orthopediatrics Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Orthopediatrics Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Orthopediatrics Corp's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.30)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.03)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.03)
Wall Street Target Price
24.125
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.26)
Using Orthopediatrics Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orthopediatrics Corp from the perspective of Orthopediatrics Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Orthopediatrics Corp using Orthopediatrics Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Orthopediatrics using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Orthopediatrics Corp's stock price.

Orthopediatrics Corp Short Interest

An investor who is long Orthopediatrics Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Orthopediatrics Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Orthopediatrics Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
20.1024
Short Percent
0.0635
Short Ratio
4.82
Shares Short Prior Month
1.1 M
50 Day MA
17.4178

Orthopediatrics Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Orthopediatrics Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Orthopediatrics. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Orthopediatrics can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Orthopediatrics Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Orthopediatrics Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Orthopediatrics Corp.

Orthopediatrics Corp Implied Volatility

    
  1.19  
Orthopediatrics Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Orthopediatrics Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Orthopediatrics Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Orthopediatrics Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Orthopediatrics Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Orthopediatrics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 19.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.60.

Orthopediatrics Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orthopediatrics Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Orthopediatrics Stock please use our How to Invest in Orthopediatrics Corp guide.At this time, Orthopediatrics Corp's Receivables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 4.07 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 0.54 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 1.5 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 15.9 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Orthopediatrics Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Orthopediatrics Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Orthopediatrics Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Orthopediatrics Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Orthopediatrics Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Orthopediatrics Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Orthopediatrics Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Orthopediatrics. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Orthopediatrics Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Orthopediatrics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orthopediatrics using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orthopediatrics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Orthopediatrics Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2014-12-31
Previous Quarter
44.6 M
Current Value
16.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
25.2 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Orthopediatrics Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Orthopediatrics Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Orthopediatrics Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Orthopediatrics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 19.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orthopediatrics Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orthopediatrics Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Orthopediatrics Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Orthopediatrics CorpOrthopediatrics Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Orthopediatrics Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Orthopediatrics Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orthopediatrics Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.26 and 22.52, respectively. We have considered Orthopediatrics Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.60
19.89
Expected Value
22.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orthopediatrics Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orthopediatrics Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2106
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3049
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0174
SAESum of the absolute errors18.5978
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Orthopediatrics Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Orthopediatrics Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Orthopediatrics Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orthopediatrics Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orthopediatrics Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0818.7121.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5421.1723.80
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.9524.1226.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.28-0.26-0.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Orthopediatrics Corp

For every potential investor in Orthopediatrics, whether a beginner or expert, Orthopediatrics Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orthopediatrics Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orthopediatrics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orthopediatrics Corp's price trends.

Orthopediatrics Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orthopediatrics Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orthopediatrics Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orthopediatrics Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Orthopediatrics Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Orthopediatrics Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Orthopediatrics Corp's current price.

Orthopediatrics Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orthopediatrics Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orthopediatrics Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orthopediatrics Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Orthopediatrics Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Orthopediatrics Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Orthopediatrics Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orthopediatrics Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orthopediatrics stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Orthopediatrics Stock Analysis

When running Orthopediatrics Corp's price analysis, check to measure Orthopediatrics Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orthopediatrics Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Orthopediatrics Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orthopediatrics Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orthopediatrics Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orthopediatrics Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.