Latin Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

LRSRF Stock   0.13  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Latin Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19. Latin Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Latin Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Latin Resources is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Latin Resources Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Latin Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Latin Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000016, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Latin Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Latin Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Latin Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Latin ResourcesLatin Resources Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Latin Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Latin Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Latin Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 2.62, respectively. We have considered Latin Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.13
0.14
Expected Value
2.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Latin Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Latin Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.041
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0031
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0232
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1874
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Latin Resources Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Latin Resources. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Latin Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Latin Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.132.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.112.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Latin Resources

For every potential investor in Latin, whether a beginner or expert, Latin Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Latin Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Latin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Latin Resources' price trends.

View Latin Resources Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Latin Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Latin Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Latin Resources' current price.

Latin Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Latin Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Latin Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Latin Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Latin Resources Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Latin Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Latin Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Latin Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting latin pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Latin Pink Sheet

Latin Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Latin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Latin with respect to the benefits of owning Latin Resources security.