MMC Sanayi Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MMCAS Stock | TRY 19.25 0.75 3.75% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MMC Sanayi ve on the next trading day is expected to be 20.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.94. MMC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MMC Sanayi's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
MMC |
MMC Sanayi Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MMC Sanayi ve on the next trading day is expected to be 20.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 0.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MMC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MMC Sanayi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MMC Sanayi Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MMC Sanayi | MMC Sanayi Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MMC Sanayi Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MMC Sanayi's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MMC Sanayi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.30 and 23.75, respectively. We have considered MMC Sanayi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MMC Sanayi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MMC Sanayi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9085 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7695 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0343 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.9417 |
Predictive Modules for MMC Sanayi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MMC Sanayi ve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MMC Sanayi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for MMC Sanayi
For every potential investor in MMC, whether a beginner or expert, MMC Sanayi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MMC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MMC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MMC Sanayi's price trends.MMC Sanayi Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MMC Sanayi stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MMC Sanayi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MMC Sanayi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MMC Sanayi ve Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MMC Sanayi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MMC Sanayi's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MMC Sanayi Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MMC Sanayi stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MMC Sanayi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MMC Sanayi stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MMC Sanayi ve entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MMC Sanayi Risk Indicators
The analysis of MMC Sanayi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MMC Sanayi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mmc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.22 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Other Information on Investing in MMC Stock
MMC Sanayi financial ratios help investors to determine whether MMC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MMC with respect to the benefits of owning MMC Sanayi security.