Menivim New Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MNRT Stock  ILA 197.00  0.70  0.36%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Menivim The New on the next trading day is expected to be 192.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.96. Menivim Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Menivim New stock prices and determine the direction of Menivim The New's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Menivim New's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Menivim New is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Menivim The New value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Menivim New Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Menivim The New on the next trading day is expected to be 192.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.20, mean absolute percentage error of 7.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Menivim Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Menivim New's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Menivim New Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Menivim NewMenivim New Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Menivim New Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Menivim New's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Menivim New's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 191.16 and 193.51, respectively. We have considered Menivim New's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
197.00
191.16
Downside
192.33
Expected Value
193.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Menivim New stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Menivim New stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1006
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.1961
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors133.9617
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Menivim The New. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Menivim New. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Menivim New

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Menivim The New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
195.82197.00198.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
138.69139.87216.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
196.11196.77197.43
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Menivim New

For every potential investor in Menivim, whether a beginner or expert, Menivim New's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Menivim Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Menivim. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Menivim New's price trends.

Menivim New Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Menivim New stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Menivim New could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Menivim New by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Menivim The New Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Menivim New's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Menivim New's current price.

Menivim New Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Menivim New stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Menivim New shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Menivim New stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Menivim The New entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Menivim New Risk Indicators

The analysis of Menivim New's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Menivim New's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting menivim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Menivim Stock

Menivim New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Menivim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Menivim with respect to the benefits of owning Menivim New security.