MSP Recovery Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MSPR Stock  USD 0.08  0.01  11.11%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MSP Recovery on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.43. MSP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although MSP Recovery's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of MSP Recovery's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of MSP Recovery fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of MSP Recovery's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 3

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MSP Recovery's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MSP Recovery and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MSP Recovery's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MSP Recovery, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MSP Recovery's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.02
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.4
Wall Street Target Price
3
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.69
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.591
Using MSP Recovery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MSP Recovery from the perspective of MSP Recovery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MSP Recovery on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.43.

MSP Recovery after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MSP Recovery to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in MSP Stock, please use our How to Invest in MSP Recovery guide.At this time, MSP Recovery's Payables Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/06/2026, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 11.50, while Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to drop 3.70. . As of 01/06/2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 1.6 M, while Net Loss is likely to drop (31.3 M).

MSP Recovery Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MSP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MSP using various technical indicators. When you analyze MSP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

MSP Recovery Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the MSP Recovery's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-06-30
Previous Quarter
M
Current Value
1.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
5.6 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for MSP Recovery is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of MSP Recovery value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

MSP Recovery Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MSP Recovery on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MSP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MSP Recovery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MSP Recovery Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MSP RecoveryMSP Recovery Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

MSP Recovery Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MSP Recovery's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MSP Recovery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0008 and 29.32, respectively. We have considered MSP Recovery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.08
0.0008
Downside
0.11
Expected Value
29.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MSP Recovery stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MSP Recovery stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0889
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0553
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1694
SAESum of the absolute errors3.4286
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of MSP Recovery. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict MSP Recovery. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for MSP Recovery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MSP Recovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0729.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.8130.02
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.733.003.33
Details

Other Forecasting Options for MSP Recovery

For every potential investor in MSP, whether a beginner or expert, MSP Recovery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MSP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MSP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MSP Recovery's price trends.

MSP Recovery Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MSP Recovery stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MSP Recovery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MSP Recovery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MSP Recovery Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MSP Recovery's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MSP Recovery's current price.

MSP Recovery Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MSP Recovery stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MSP Recovery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MSP Recovery stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MSP Recovery entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MSP Recovery Risk Indicators

The analysis of MSP Recovery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MSP Recovery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting msp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with MSP Recovery

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if MSP Recovery position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MSP Recovery will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with MSP Stock

  0.84ERIE Erie IndemnityPairCorr

Moving against MSP Stock

  0.82MKL MarkelPairCorr
  0.79ACT Enact HoldingsPairCorr
  0.76UVE Universal InsurancePairCorr
  0.74CB ChubbPairCorr
  0.72AXS AXIS Capital HoldingsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to MSP Recovery could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace MSP Recovery when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back MSP Recovery - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling MSP Recovery to buy it.
The correlation of MSP Recovery is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as MSP Recovery moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if MSP Recovery moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for MSP Recovery can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for MSP Stock Analysis

When running MSP Recovery's price analysis, check to measure MSP Recovery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MSP Recovery is operating at the current time. Most of MSP Recovery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MSP Recovery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MSP Recovery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MSP Recovery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.