NBI Liquid Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

NALT Etf  CAD 22.04  0.28  1.25%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NBI Liquid Alternatives on the next trading day is expected to be 22.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.71. NBI Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for NBI Liquid is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NBI Liquid Alternatives value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NBI Liquid Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NBI Liquid Alternatives on the next trading day is expected to be 22.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NBI Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NBI Liquid's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NBI Liquid Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest NBI LiquidNBI Liquid Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

NBI Liquid Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NBI Liquid's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NBI Liquid's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.56 and 22.59, respectively. We have considered NBI Liquid's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.04
22.08
Expected Value
22.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NBI Liquid etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NBI Liquid etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8868
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1083
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0047
SAESum of the absolute errors6.7138
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NBI Liquid Alternatives. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NBI Liquid. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NBI Liquid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NBI Liquid Alternatives. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5222.0422.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4720.9924.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.9322.1822.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for NBI Liquid

For every potential investor in NBI, whether a beginner or expert, NBI Liquid's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NBI Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NBI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NBI Liquid's price trends.

NBI Liquid Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NBI Liquid etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NBI Liquid could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NBI Liquid by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NBI Liquid Alternatives Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NBI Liquid's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NBI Liquid's current price.

NBI Liquid Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NBI Liquid etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NBI Liquid shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NBI Liquid etf market strength indicators, traders can identify NBI Liquid Alternatives entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NBI Liquid Risk Indicators

The analysis of NBI Liquid's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NBI Liquid's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nbi etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with NBI Liquid

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if NBI Liquid position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NBI Liquid will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against NBI Etf

  0.89ZSP BMO SP 500PairCorr
  0.89VFV Vanguard SP 500PairCorr
  0.87XIU iShares SPTSX 60PairCorr
  0.85XIC iShares Core SPTSXPairCorr
  0.85ZCN BMO SPTSX CappedPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to NBI Liquid could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace NBI Liquid when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back NBI Liquid - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling NBI Liquid Alternatives to buy it.
The correlation of NBI Liquid is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as NBI Liquid moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if NBI Liquid Alternatives moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for NBI Liquid can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in NBI Etf

NBI Liquid financial ratios help investors to determine whether NBI Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NBI with respect to the benefits of owning NBI Liquid security.