Neuropace Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NPCE Stock  USD 13.77  0.46  3.23%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neuropace on the next trading day is expected to be 14.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.23. Neuropace Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Neuropace stock prices and determine the direction of Neuropace's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neuropace's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Neuropace's Receivables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.85, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 1.17. . As of February 23, 2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 27 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (44.5 M).

Neuropace Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Neuropace's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
20.8 M
Current Value
16.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
7.8 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Neuropace is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Neuropace value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Neuropace Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neuropace on the next trading day is expected to be 14.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neuropace Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neuropace's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Neuropace Stock Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec 3Dec 11Dec 19Dec 30Jan 8Jan 17Jan 28Feb 5Feb 13Feb 23Next 6101520
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Neuropace Neuropace forecast
Backtest NeuropaceNeuropace Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Neuropace Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Neuropace's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neuropace's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.72 and 18.20, respectively. We have considered Neuropace's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.77
14.46
Expected Value
18.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neuropace stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neuropace stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8658
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4464
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0365
SAESum of the absolute errors27.2315
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Neuropace. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Neuropace. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Neuropace

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neuropace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Neuropace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2213.9617.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8614.6018.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.6713.2114.75
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.7116.1717.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Neuropace

For every potential investor in Neuropace, whether a beginner or expert, Neuropace's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neuropace Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neuropace. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neuropace's price trends.

View Neuropace Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Neuropace Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Neuropace's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Neuropace's current price.

Neuropace Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neuropace stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neuropace shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neuropace stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neuropace entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Neuropace Risk Indicators

The analysis of Neuropace's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neuropace's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neuropace stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Neuropace is a strong investment it is important to analyze Neuropace's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Neuropace's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Neuropace Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neuropace to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Neuropace Stock refer to our How to Trade Neuropace Stock guide.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Neuropace. If investors know Neuropace will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Neuropace listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.98)
Revenue Per Share
2.697
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.282
Return On Assets
(0.15)
Return On Equity
(2.15)
The market value of Neuropace is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Neuropace that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Neuropace's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Neuropace's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Neuropace's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Neuropace's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Neuropace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Neuropace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Neuropace's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.