Phenixfin Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Phenixfin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Phenixfin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Phenixfin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Phenixfin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Phenixfin is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Phenixfin value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Phenixfin Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Phenixfin on the next trading day is expected to be 42.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.42.

Phenixfin Stock Forecast Pattern

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Phenixfin Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Phenixfin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Phenixfin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Phenixfin. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Phenixfin. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Phenixfin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phenixfin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 41.35 43.50 45.65 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 40.20 42.35 44.50 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 41.82 44.12 46.42 Details

1 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 31.85 35.00 38.85 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Phenixfin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Phenixfin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Phenixfin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Phenixfin.

Phenixfin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Phenixfin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Phenixfin Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Phenixfin Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of January Phenixfin is traded for 43.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Phenixfin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Phenixfin is about 3736.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.50. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Phenixfin last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2025. The entity had 1:20 split on the 27th of July 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Phenixfin to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Phenixfin Stock please use our How to Invest in Phenixfin guide.

Phenixfin Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Phenixfin

For every potential investor in Phenixfin, whether a beginner or expert, Phenixfin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Phenixfin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Phenixfin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Phenixfin's price trends.

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