Virtual Medical Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

QEBR Stock  USD 0.0002  0.0001  100.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Virtual Medical International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000941 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006. Virtual Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Virtual Medical is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Virtual Medical International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Virtual Medical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Virtual Medical International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000941, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Virtual Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Virtual Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Virtual Medical Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Virtual MedicalVirtual Medical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Virtual Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Virtual Medical's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Virtual Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000002 and 12.50, respectively. We have considered Virtual Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.000002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
12.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virtual Medical pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virtual Medical pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.8353
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0727
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Virtual Medical International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Virtual Medical. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Virtual Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtual Medical Inte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000112.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000112.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Virtual Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Virtual Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Virtual Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Virtual Medical Inte.

Other Forecasting Options for Virtual Medical

For every potential investor in Virtual, whether a beginner or expert, Virtual Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Virtual Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Virtual. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Virtual Medical's price trends.

Virtual Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Virtual Medical pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Virtual Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virtual Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Virtual Medical Inte Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Virtual Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Virtual Medical's current price.

Virtual Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Virtual Medical pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Virtual Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Virtual Medical pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Virtual Medical International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Virtual Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Virtual Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Virtual Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting virtual pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Virtual Medical

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Virtual Medical position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Virtual Medical will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Virtual Pink Sheet

  0.78TAK Takeda PharmaceuticalPairCorr
  0.76MKKGY Merck KGaA ADRPairCorr
  0.74MKGAF MERCK KommanditgesellsPairCorr
  0.74TEVA Teva Pharma IndustriesPairCorr
  0.72HLN Haleon plcPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Virtual Medical could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Virtual Medical when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Virtual Medical - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Virtual Medical International to buy it.
The correlation of Virtual Medical is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Virtual Medical moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Virtual Medical Inte moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Virtual Medical can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Virtual Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Virtual Medical's price analysis, check to measure Virtual Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virtual Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Virtual Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virtual Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virtual Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virtual Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.