SailPoint Common Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SAIL Stock | USD 18.95 1.28 6.33% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SailPoint Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 17.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.81. SailPoint Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although SailPoint Common's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of SailPoint Common's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of SailPoint Common fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of SailPoint Common's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1895 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2707 | Wall Street Target Price 27.0938 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.228 |
Using SailPoint Common hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SailPoint Common Stock from the perspective of SailPoint Common response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SailPoint Common using SailPoint Common's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SailPoint using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SailPoint Common's stock price.
SailPoint Common Short Interest
An investor who is long SailPoint Common may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about SailPoint Common and may potentially protect profits, hedge SailPoint Common with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 20.035 | Short Percent 0.0909 | Short Ratio 3.37 | Shares Short Prior Month 15.1 M | 50 Day MA 20.2942 |
SailPoint Common Stock Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SailPoint Common's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SailPoint. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SailPoint can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SailPoint Common Stock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SailPoint Common's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SailPoint Common.
SailPoint Common Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
SailPoint Common's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SailPoint Common Stock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SailPoint Common's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SailPoint Common stock will not fluctuate a lot when SailPoint Common's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SailPoint Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 17.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.81. SailPoint Common after-hype prediction price | USD 20.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SailPoint | Build AI portfolio with SailPoint Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 SailPoint Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SailPoint Common's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SailPoint Common's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SailPoint Common stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SailPoint Common's open interest, investors have to compare it to SailPoint Common's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SailPoint Common is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SailPoint. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SailPoint Common Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SailPoint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SailPoint using various technical indicators. When you analyze SailPoint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SailPoint Common Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the SailPoint Common's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2016-10-31 | Previous Quarter 271.1 M | Current Value 298.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 178.8 M |
SailPoint Common Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SailPoint Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 17.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SailPoint Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SailPoint Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SailPoint Common Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SailPoint Common | SailPoint Common Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SailPoint Common Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SailPoint Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SailPoint Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.48 and 20.57, respectively. We have considered SailPoint Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SailPoint Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SailPoint Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7722 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4231 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0206 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.8104 |
Predictive Modules for SailPoint Common
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SailPoint Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for SailPoint Common
For every potential investor in SailPoint, whether a beginner or expert, SailPoint Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SailPoint Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SailPoint. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SailPoint Common's price trends.SailPoint Common Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SailPoint Common stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SailPoint Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SailPoint Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SailPoint Common Stock Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SailPoint Common's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SailPoint Common's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SailPoint Common Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SailPoint Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SailPoint Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SailPoint Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SailPoint Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 248448.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.73) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.69 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.44 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.38) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.28) |
SailPoint Common Risk Indicators
The analysis of SailPoint Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SailPoint Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sailpoint stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Variance | 8.59 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SailPoint Common. If investors know SailPoint will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SailPoint Common listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SailPoint Common Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SailPoint that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SailPoint Common's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SailPoint Common's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SailPoint Common's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SailPoint Common's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SailPoint Common's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SailPoint Common is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SailPoint Common's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.