Teamlease Services Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TEAMLEASE   2,898  10.95  0.38%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Teamlease Services Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2,978 with a mean absolute deviation of 33.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,100. Teamlease Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Teamlease Services stock prices and determine the direction of Teamlease Services Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Teamlease Services' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Teamlease Services' Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Property Plant And Equipment Net is expected to grow to about 842 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 10.9 B.
A naive forecasting model for Teamlease Services is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Teamlease Services Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Teamlease Services Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Teamlease Services Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2,978 with a mean absolute deviation of 33.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1,822, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,100.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teamlease Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teamlease Services' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Teamlease Services Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Teamlease ServicesTeamlease Services Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Teamlease Services Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Teamlease Services' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teamlease Services' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,976 and 2,980, respectively. We have considered Teamlease Services' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,898
2,978
Expected Value
2,980
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teamlease Services stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teamlease Services stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.4559
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation33.8741
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0116
SAESum of the absolute errors2100.1937
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Teamlease Services Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Teamlease Services. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Teamlease Services

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teamlease Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,8882,8903,188
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6082,9152,916
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,6062,7682,929
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
13.4813.7414.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Teamlease Services

For every potential investor in Teamlease, whether a beginner or expert, Teamlease Services' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teamlease Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teamlease. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teamlease Services' price trends.

Teamlease Services Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teamlease Services stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teamlease Services could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teamlease Services by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Teamlease Services Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Teamlease Services' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Teamlease Services' current price.

Teamlease Services Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teamlease Services stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teamlease Services shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teamlease Services stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teamlease Services Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Teamlease Services Risk Indicators

The analysis of Teamlease Services' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teamlease Services' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teamlease stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Teamlease Stock

Teamlease Services financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teamlease Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teamlease with respect to the benefits of owning Teamlease Services security.