TOTALENERGIES MARKETING Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TOTAL Stock   673.90  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING NIGERIA on the next trading day is expected to be 673.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's stock prices and determine the direction of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING NIGERIA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
A naive forecasting model for TOTALENERGIES MARKETING is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING NIGERIA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

TOTALENERGIES MARKETING Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING NIGERIA on the next trading day is expected to be 673.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TOTALENERGIES Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TOTALENERGIES MARKETING Stock Forecast Pattern

TOTALENERGIES MARKETING Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 673.90 and 673.90, respectively. We have considered TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
673.90
673.90
Downside
673.90
Expected Value
673.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TOTALENERGIES MARKETING stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria63.732
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING NIGERIA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict TOTALENERGIES MARKETING. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for TOTALENERGIES MARKETING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TOTALENERGIES MARKETING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for TOTALENERGIES MARKETING

For every potential investor in TOTALENERGIES, whether a beginner or expert, TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TOTALENERGIES Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TOTALENERGIES. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's price trends.

TOTALENERGIES MARKETING Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TOTALENERGIES MARKETING stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TOTALENERGIES MARKETING by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TOTALENERGIES MARKETING Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's current price.

TOTALENERGIES MARKETING Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TOTALENERGIES MARKETING stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TOTALENERGIES MARKETING shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TOTALENERGIES MARKETING stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TOTALENERGIES MARKETING NIGERIA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for TOTALENERGIES Stock Analysis

When running TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's price analysis, check to measure TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TOTALENERGIES MARKETING is operating at the current time. Most of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TOTALENERGIES MARKETING's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TOTALENERGIES MARKETING to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.