United American Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

UAMA Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of United American Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. United Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast United American stock prices and determine the direction of United American Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of United American's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 1.56, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.42. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 1.3 M.

United American Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the United American's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.8 K
Current Value
2.7 K
Quarterly Volatility
400.58282586
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for United American is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of United American Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

United American Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of United American Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

United American Stock Forecast Pattern

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United American Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting United American's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United American's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered United American's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United American stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United American stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of United American Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict United American. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for United American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United American Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for United American

For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United American's price trends.

United American Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United American stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

United American Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of United American's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of United American's current price.

United American Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United American stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United American stock market strength indicators, traders can identify United American Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether United American Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of United American's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of United American Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on United American Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United American to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United American. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.147
Revenue Per Share
0.54
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.50)
Return On Assets
0.2666
The market value of United American Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.