Vestas Wind Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VWSYF Stock | USD 14.78 0.80 5.72% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vestas Wind Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 16.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.99. Vestas Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vestas Wind's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Vestas |
Vestas Wind Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vestas Wind Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 16.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vestas Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vestas Wind's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vestas Wind Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vestas Wind | Vestas Wind Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Vestas Wind Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vestas Wind's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vestas Wind's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.94 and 19.44, respectively. We have considered Vestas Wind's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vestas Wind pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vestas Wind pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4915 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5736 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0311 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.9918 |
Predictive Modules for Vestas Wind
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vestas Wind Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vestas Wind's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Vestas Wind
For every potential investor in Vestas, whether a beginner or expert, Vestas Wind's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vestas Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vestas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vestas Wind's price trends.Vestas Wind Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vestas Wind pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vestas Wind could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vestas Wind by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vestas Wind Systems Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vestas Wind's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vestas Wind's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vestas Wind Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vestas Wind pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vestas Wind shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vestas Wind pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Vestas Wind Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vestas Wind Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vestas Wind's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vestas Wind's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vestas pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Vestas Pink Sheet
Vestas Wind financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vestas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vestas with respect to the benefits of owning Vestas Wind security.