Roundhill Ether Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

YETH Etf   53.80  0.77  1.45%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Roundhill Ether Covered on the next trading day is expected to be 54.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.11. Roundhill Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Roundhill Ether's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Roundhill Ether is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Roundhill Ether Covered value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Roundhill Ether Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Roundhill Ether Covered on the next trading day is expected to be 54.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12, mean absolute percentage error of 1.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roundhill Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roundhill Ether's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Roundhill Ether Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Roundhill EtherRoundhill Ether Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Roundhill Ether Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Roundhill Ether's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roundhill Ether's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.43 and 56.76, respectively. We have considered Roundhill Ether's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
53.80
54.10
Expected Value
56.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roundhill Ether etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roundhill Ether etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6902
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1165
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0236
SAESum of the absolute errors68.1058
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Roundhill Ether Covered. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Roundhill Ether. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Roundhill Ether

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roundhill Ether Covered. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Roundhill Ether's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.3854.0656.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.0452.7255.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
49.2751.8654.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Roundhill Ether

For every potential investor in Roundhill, whether a beginner or expert, Roundhill Ether's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roundhill Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roundhill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roundhill Ether's price trends.

Roundhill Ether Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roundhill Ether etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roundhill Ether could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roundhill Ether by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Roundhill Ether Covered Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Roundhill Ether's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Roundhill Ether's current price.

Roundhill Ether Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roundhill Ether etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roundhill Ether shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roundhill Ether etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Roundhill Ether Covered entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Roundhill Ether Risk Indicators

The analysis of Roundhill Ether's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roundhill Ether's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roundhill etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Roundhill Ether Covered offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Roundhill Ether's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Roundhill Ether Covered Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Roundhill Ether Covered Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roundhill Ether to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
The market value of Roundhill Ether Covered is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Roundhill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Roundhill Ether's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Roundhill Ether's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Roundhill Ether's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Roundhill Ether's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roundhill Ether's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Roundhill Ether is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roundhill Ether's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.