ZimVie Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ZIMV Stock  USD 14.53  0.01  0.07%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ZimVie Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 14.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.23. ZimVie Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, ZimVie's Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 0.54 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 1.17 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to climb to about 28.8 M in 2024, whereas Net Loss is likely to drop (77.1 M) in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the ZimVie's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
71.5 M
Current Value
71.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
22.7 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for ZimVie is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ZimVie Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ZimVie Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ZimVie Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 14.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ZimVie Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ZimVie's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ZimVie Stock Forecast Pattern

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ZimVie Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ZimVie's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ZimVie's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.79 and 16.66, respectively. We have considered ZimVie's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.53
14.73
Expected Value
16.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ZimVie stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ZimVie stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1701
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3153
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0212
SAESum of the absolute errors19.2322
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ZimVie Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ZimVie. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ZimVie

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZimVie Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5714.5016.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9712.8914.83
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0111.0012.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.150.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ZimVie

For every potential investor in ZimVie, whether a beginner or expert, ZimVie's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ZimVie Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ZimVie. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ZimVie's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

ZimVie Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ZimVie's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ZimVie's current price.

ZimVie Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ZimVie stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ZimVie shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ZimVie stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ZimVie Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ZimVie Risk Indicators

The analysis of ZimVie's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ZimVie's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zimvie stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for ZimVie Stock Analysis

When running ZimVie's price analysis, check to measure ZimVie's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ZimVie is operating at the current time. Most of ZimVie's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ZimVie's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ZimVie's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ZimVie to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.