Correlation Between National Beverage and Churchill Downs

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Beverage and Churchill Downs at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Beverage and Churchill Downs into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Beverage Corp and Churchill Downs Incorporated, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Beverage and Churchill Downs and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Beverage with a short position of Churchill Downs. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Beverage and Churchill Downs.

Diversification Opportunities for National Beverage and Churchill Downs

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and Churchill is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Beverage Corp and Churchill Downs Incorporated in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Churchill Downs and National Beverage is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Beverage Corp are associated (or correlated) with Churchill Downs. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Churchill Downs has no effect on the direction of National Beverage i.e., National Beverage and Churchill Downs go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Beverage and Churchill Downs

Assuming the 90 days horizon National Beverage is expected to generate 2.19 times less return on investment than Churchill Downs. In addition to that, National Beverage is 1.14 times more volatile than Churchill Downs Incorporated. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Churchill Downs Incorporated is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  9,684  in Churchill Downs Incorporated on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,416  from holding Churchill Downs Incorporated or generate 35.27% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy99.8%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Beverage Corp  vs.  Churchill Downs Incorporated

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Beverage Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Beverage Corp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, National Beverage may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Churchill Downs 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Churchill Downs Incorporated are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Churchill Downs is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

National Beverage and Churchill Downs Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Beverage and Churchill Downs

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Beverage and Churchill Downs positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Beverage position performs unexpectedly, Churchill Downs can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Churchill Downs will offset losses from the drop in Churchill Downs' long position.
The idea behind National Beverage Corp and Churchill Downs Incorporated pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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