Correlation Between National Beverage and Cummins

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Beverage and Cummins at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Beverage and Cummins into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Beverage Corp and Cummins, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Beverage and Cummins and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Beverage with a short position of Cummins. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Beverage and Cummins.

Diversification Opportunities for National Beverage and Cummins

0.8
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and Cummins is 0.8. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Beverage Corp and Cummins in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cummins and National Beverage is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Beverage Corp are associated (or correlated) with Cummins. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cummins has no effect on the direction of National Beverage i.e., National Beverage and Cummins go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Beverage and Cummins

Assuming the 90 days horizon National Beverage Corp is expected to under-perform the Cummins. In addition to that, National Beverage is 1.48 times more volatile than Cummins. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Cummins is currently generating about 0.25 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  33,411  in Cummins on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,399  from holding Cummins or generate 7.18% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Beverage Corp  vs.  Cummins

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Beverage Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Beverage Corp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, National Beverage may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Cummins 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cummins has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, Cummins reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

National Beverage and Cummins Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Beverage and Cummins

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Beverage and Cummins positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Beverage position performs unexpectedly, Cummins can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cummins will offset losses from the drop in Cummins' long position.
The idea behind National Beverage Corp and Cummins pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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