Correlation Between IShares Agency and US Treasury

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both IShares Agency and US Treasury at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining IShares Agency and US Treasury into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between iShares Agency Bond and US Treasury 3, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on IShares Agency and US Treasury and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in IShares Agency with a short position of US Treasury. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of IShares Agency and US Treasury.

Diversification Opportunities for IShares Agency and US Treasury

0.99
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between IShares and UTRE is 0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding iShares Agency Bond and US Treasury 3 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Treasury 3 and IShares Agency is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on iShares Agency Bond are associated (or correlated) with US Treasury. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Treasury 3 has no effect on the direction of IShares Agency i.e., IShares Agency and US Treasury go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between IShares Agency and US Treasury

Considering the 90-day investment horizon IShares Agency is expected to generate 1.2 times less return on investment than US Treasury. In addition to that, IShares Agency is 1.25 times more volatile than US Treasury 3. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. US Treasury 3 is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,904  in US Treasury 3 on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  12.00  from holding US Treasury 3 or generate 0.24% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

iShares Agency Bond  vs.  US Treasury 3

 Performance 
       Timeline  
iShares Agency Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days iShares Agency Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, IShares Agency is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
US Treasury 3 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days US Treasury 3 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

IShares Agency and US Treasury Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with IShares Agency and US Treasury

The main advantage of trading using opposite IShares Agency and US Treasury positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if IShares Agency position performs unexpectedly, US Treasury can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Treasury will offset losses from the drop in US Treasury's long position.
The idea behind iShares Agency Bond and US Treasury 3 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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