Correlation Between Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ardagh Metal Packaging and Karat Packaging, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ardagh Metal with a short position of Karat Packaging. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging.

Diversification Opportunities for Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging

0.33
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ardagh and Karat is 0.33. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ardagh Metal Packaging and Karat Packaging in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Karat Packaging and Ardagh Metal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ardagh Metal Packaging are associated (or correlated) with Karat Packaging. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Karat Packaging has no effect on the direction of Ardagh Metal i.e., Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ardagh Metal is expected to generate 2.32 times less return on investment than Karat Packaging. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Ardagh Metal Packaging is 1.24 times less risky than Karat Packaging. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Karat Packaging is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,907  in Karat Packaging on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,157  from holding Karat Packaging or generate 60.67% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ardagh Metal Packaging  vs.  Karat Packaging

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ardagh Metal Packaging 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ardagh Metal Packaging are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively conflicting fundamental drivers, Ardagh Metal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Karat Packaging 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Karat Packaging are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile basic indicators, Karat Packaging unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ardagh Metal and Karat Packaging positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ardagh Metal position performs unexpectedly, Karat Packaging can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Karat Packaging will offset losses from the drop in Karat Packaging's long position.
The idea behind Ardagh Metal Packaging and Karat Packaging pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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