Correlation Between Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Fund Y and Arrow Managed Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Fund with a short position of Arrow Managed. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed

-0.19
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultra and Arrow is -0.19. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Fund Y and Arrow Managed Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Arrow Managed Futures and Ultra Fund is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Fund Y are associated (or correlated) with Arrow Managed. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Arrow Managed Futures has no effect on the direction of Ultra Fund i.e., Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ultra Fund Y is expected to generate 0.71 times more return on investment than Arrow Managed. However, Ultra Fund Y is 1.41 times less risky than Arrow Managed. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Arrow Managed Futures is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  5,885  in Ultra Fund Y on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,815  from holding Ultra Fund Y or generate 81.82% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy99.8%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Fund Y  vs.  Arrow Managed Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Fund Y 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Fund Y are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Ultra Fund may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Arrow Managed Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Arrow Managed Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Arrow Managed is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Fund and Arrow Managed positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Fund position performs unexpectedly, Arrow Managed can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arrow Managed will offset losses from the drop in Arrow Managed's long position.
The idea behind Ultra Fund Y and Arrow Managed Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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