Correlation Between Axos Financial and First Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Axos Financial and First Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Axos Financial and First Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Axos Financial and First Guaranty Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Axos Financial and First Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Axos Financial with a short position of First Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Axos Financial and First Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Axos Financial and First Guaranty

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Axos and First is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Axos Financial and First Guaranty Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Guaranty Bancshares and Axos Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Axos Financial are associated (or correlated) with First Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Guaranty Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Axos Financial i.e., Axos Financial and First Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Axos Financial and First Guaranty

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Axos Financial is expected to generate 1.3 times less return on investment than First Guaranty. In addition to that, Axos Financial is 2.17 times more volatile than First Guaranty Bancshares. It trades about 0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Guaranty Bancshares is currently generating about 0.61 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,075  in First Guaranty Bancshares on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  356.00  from holding First Guaranty Bancshares or generate 33.12% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Axos Financial  vs.  First Guaranty Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Axos Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Axos Financial are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Axos Financial showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

23 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 23 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unsteady fundamental drivers, First Guaranty demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Axos Financial and First Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Axos Financial and First Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Axos Financial and First Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Axos Financial position performs unexpectedly, First Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in First Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind Axos Financial and First Guaranty Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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