Correlation Between American Express and ProShares UltraShort

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Express and ProShares UltraShort at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Express and ProShares UltraShort into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Express and ProShares UltraShort SmallCap600, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Express and ProShares UltraShort and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Express with a short position of ProShares UltraShort. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Express and ProShares UltraShort.

Diversification Opportunities for American Express and ProShares UltraShort

-0.94
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between American and ProShares is -0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Express and ProShares UltraShort SmallCap6 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraShort and American Express is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Express are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraShort. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraShort has no effect on the direction of American Express i.e., American Express and ProShares UltraShort go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Express and ProShares UltraShort

Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Express is expected to generate 0.58 times more return on investment than ProShares UltraShort. However, American Express is 1.73 times less risky than ProShares UltraShort. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares UltraShort SmallCap600 is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  17,030  in American Express on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  13,438  from holding American Express or generate 78.91% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Express  vs.  ProShares UltraShort SmallCap6

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Express 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Express are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating basic indicators, American Express reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
ProShares UltraShort 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraShort SmallCap600 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.

American Express and ProShares UltraShort Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Express and ProShares UltraShort

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Express and ProShares UltraShort positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Express position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraShort can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraShort will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraShort's long position.
The idea behind American Express and ProShares UltraShort SmallCap600 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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