Correlation Between Bank Negara and Argha Karya

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Bank Negara and Argha Karya at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Bank Negara and Argha Karya into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Bank Negara Indonesia and Argha Karya Prima, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Bank Negara and Argha Karya and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Bank Negara with a short position of Argha Karya. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Bank Negara and Argha Karya.

Diversification Opportunities for Bank Negara and Argha Karya

0.68
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Bank and Argha is 0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bank Negara Indonesia and Argha Karya Prima in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Argha Karya Prima and Bank Negara is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Bank Negara Indonesia are associated (or correlated) with Argha Karya. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Argha Karya Prima has no effect on the direction of Bank Negara i.e., Bank Negara and Argha Karya go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Bank Negara and Argha Karya

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Negara Indonesia is expected to generate 2.09 times more return on investment than Argha Karya. However, Bank Negara is 2.09 times more volatile than Argha Karya Prima. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Argha Karya Prima is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  435,736  in Bank Negara Indonesia on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  66,764  from holding Bank Negara Indonesia or generate 15.32% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Bank Negara Indonesia  vs.  Argha Karya Prima

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Bank Negara Indonesia 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Bank Negara Indonesia has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Bank Negara is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Argha Karya Prima 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Argha Karya Prima has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Argha Karya is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Bank Negara and Argha Karya Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Bank Negara and Argha Karya

The main advantage of trading using opposite Bank Negara and Argha Karya positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Bank Negara position performs unexpectedly, Argha Karya can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Argha Karya will offset losses from the drop in Argha Karya's long position.
The idea behind Bank Negara Indonesia and Argha Karya Prima pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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