Correlation Between American Funds and Real Return

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Funds and Real Return at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Funds and Real Return into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Funds Inflation and Real Return Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Funds and Real Return and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Funds with a short position of Real Return. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Funds and Real Return.

Diversification Opportunities for American Funds and Real Return

0.99
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between American and Real is 0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Funds Inflation and Real Return Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Real Return Fund and American Funds is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Funds Inflation are associated (or correlated) with Real Return. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Real Return Fund has no effect on the direction of American Funds i.e., American Funds and Real Return go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Funds and Real Return

Assuming the 90 days horizon American Funds Inflation is expected to under-perform the Real Return. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, American Funds Inflation is 1.31 times less risky than Real Return. The mutual fund trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Real Return Fund is currently generating about 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,010  in Real Return Fund on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2.00  from holding Real Return Fund or generate 0.2% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Funds Inflation  vs.  Real Return Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Funds Inflation 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days American Funds Inflation has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, American Funds is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Real Return Fund 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Real Return Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Real Return is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

American Funds and Real Return Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Funds and Real Return

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Funds and Real Return positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Funds position performs unexpectedly, Real Return can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Real Return will offset losses from the drop in Real Return's long position.
The idea behind American Funds Inflation and Real Return Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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