Correlation Between Vanguard Total and SPDR SP

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Total and SPDR SP at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Total and SPDR SP into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Total Bond and SPDR SP 500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Total and SPDR SP and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Total with a short position of SPDR SP. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Total and SPDR SP.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Total and SPDR SP

-0.58
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and SPDR is -0.58. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Total Bond and SPDR SP 500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR SP 500 and Vanguard Total is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Total Bond are associated (or correlated) with SPDR SP. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR SP 500 has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Total i.e., Vanguard Total and SPDR SP go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Total and SPDR SP

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard Total is expected to generate 6.82 times less return on investment than SPDR SP. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard Total Bond is 1.99 times less risky than SPDR SP. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR SP 500 is currently generating about 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,030  in SPDR SP 500 on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,933  from holding SPDR SP 500 or generate 63.8% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Total Bond  vs.  SPDR SP 500

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Total Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Total Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
SPDR SP 500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR SP 500 are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, SPDR SP may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Vanguard Total and SPDR SP Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Total and SPDR SP

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Total and SPDR SP positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Total position performs unexpectedly, SPDR SP can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR SP will offset losses from the drop in SPDR SP's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Total Bond and SPDR SP 500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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