Correlation Between BP Plc and Ecopetrol

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both BP Plc and Ecopetrol at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining BP Plc and Ecopetrol into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between BP plc and Ecopetrol SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on BP Plc and Ecopetrol and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in BP Plc with a short position of Ecopetrol. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of BP Plc and Ecopetrol.

Diversification Opportunities for BP Plc and Ecopetrol

0.86
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between BSU and Ecopetrol is 0.86. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding BP plc and Ecopetrol SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ecopetrol SA and BP Plc is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on BP plc are associated (or correlated) with Ecopetrol. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ecopetrol SA has no effect on the direction of BP Plc i.e., BP Plc and Ecopetrol go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between BP Plc and Ecopetrol

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BP plc is expected to under-perform the Ecopetrol. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, BP plc is 1.51 times less risky than Ecopetrol. The stock trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Ecopetrol SA is currently generating about 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  738.00  in Ecopetrol SA on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  30.00  from holding Ecopetrol SA or generate 4.07% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

BP plc  vs.  Ecopetrol SA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
BP plc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days BP plc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, BP Plc is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.
Ecopetrol SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

BP Plc and Ecopetrol Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with BP Plc and Ecopetrol

The main advantage of trading using opposite BP Plc and Ecopetrol positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if BP Plc position performs unexpectedly, Ecopetrol can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ecopetrol will offset losses from the drop in Ecopetrol's long position.
The idea behind BP plc and Ecopetrol SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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