Correlation Between Cocoa and 30 Year

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cocoa and 30 Year at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cocoa and 30 Year into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cocoa and 30 Year Treasury, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cocoa and 30 Year and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cocoa with a short position of 30 Year. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cocoa and 30 Year.

Diversification Opportunities for Cocoa and 30 Year

-0.21
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cocoa and ZBUSD is -0.21. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cocoa and 30 Year Treasury in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on 30 Year Treasury and Cocoa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cocoa are associated (or correlated) with 30 Year. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of 30 Year Treasury has no effect on the direction of Cocoa i.e., Cocoa and 30 Year go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cocoa and 30 Year

Assuming the 90 days horizon Cocoa is expected to generate 4.24 times more return on investment than 30 Year. However, Cocoa is 4.24 times more volatile than 30 Year Treasury. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. 30 Year Treasury is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  245,200  in Cocoa on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  694,000  from holding Cocoa or generate 283.03% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy99.22%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cocoa  vs.  30 Year Treasury

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cocoa are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Cocoa exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
30 Year Treasury 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days 30 Year Treasury has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, 30 Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Cocoa and 30 Year Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cocoa and 30 Year

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cocoa and 30 Year positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cocoa position performs unexpectedly, 30 Year can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 30 Year will offset losses from the drop in 30 Year's long position.
The idea behind Cocoa and 30 Year Treasury pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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