Correlation Between Chemung Financial and Bank First

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Chemung Financial and Bank First at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Chemung Financial and Bank First into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Chemung Financial Corp and Bank First National, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Chemung Financial and Bank First and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Chemung Financial with a short position of Bank First. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Chemung Financial and Bank First.

Diversification Opportunities for Chemung Financial and Bank First

0.89
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Chemung and Bank is 0.89. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Chemung Financial Corp and Bank First National in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Bank First National and Chemung Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Chemung Financial Corp are associated (or correlated) with Bank First. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Bank First National has no effect on the direction of Chemung Financial i.e., Chemung Financial and Bank First go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Chemung Financial and Bank First

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Chemung Financial is expected to generate 1.62 times less return on investment than Bank First. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Chemung Financial Corp is 1.96 times less risky than Bank First. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Bank First National is currently generating about 0.18 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  9,173  in Bank First National on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,288  from holding Bank First National or generate 14.05% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

Chemung Financial Corp  vs.  Bank First National

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Chemung Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Chemung Financial Corp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady primary indicators, Chemung Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Bank First National 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Bank First National are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak technical and fundamental indicators, Bank First exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Chemung Financial and Bank First Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Chemung Financial and Bank First

The main advantage of trading using opposite Chemung Financial and Bank First positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Chemung Financial position performs unexpectedly, Bank First can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bank First will offset losses from the drop in Bank First's long position.
The idea behind Chemung Financial Corp and Bank First National pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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