Correlation Between Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Chemung Financial Corp and Civista Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Chemung Financial with a short position of Civista Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares

0.93
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Chemung and Civista is 0.93. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Chemung Financial Corp and Civista Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Civista Bancshares and Chemung Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Chemung Financial Corp are associated (or correlated) with Civista Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Civista Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Chemung Financial i.e., Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Chemung Financial is expected to generate 1.24 times less return on investment than Civista Bancshares. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Chemung Financial Corp is 1.17 times less risky than Civista Bancshares. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Civista Bancshares is currently generating about 0.27 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,020  in Civista Bancshares on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  268.00  from holding Civista Bancshares or generate 13.27% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Chemung Financial Corp  vs.  Civista Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Chemung Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Chemung Financial Corp are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent primary indicators, Chemung Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Civista Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Civista Bancshares are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat inconsistent basic indicators, Civista Bancshares sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Chemung Financial and Civista Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Chemung Financial position performs unexpectedly, Civista Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Civista Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Civista Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind Chemung Financial Corp and Civista Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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