Correlation Between Cosan SA and Thai Oil

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cosan SA and Thai Oil at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cosan SA and Thai Oil into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cosan SA ADR and Thai Oil PCL, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cosan SA and Thai Oil and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cosan SA with a short position of Thai Oil. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cosan SA and Thai Oil.

Diversification Opportunities for Cosan SA and Thai Oil

0.52
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cosan and Thai is 0.52. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cosan SA ADR and Thai Oil PCL in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Thai Oil PCL and Cosan SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cosan SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Thai Oil. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Thai Oil PCL has no effect on the direction of Cosan SA i.e., Cosan SA and Thai Oil go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cosan SA and Thai Oil

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cosan SA ADR is expected to under-perform the Thai Oil. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Cosan SA ADR is 2.74 times less risky than Thai Oil. The stock trades about -0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Thai Oil PCL is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,500  in Thai Oil PCL on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (130.00) from holding Thai Oil PCL or give up 8.67% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cosan SA ADR  vs.  Thai Oil PCL

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cosan SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Cosan SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.
Thai Oil PCL 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Thai Oil PCL has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Thai Oil is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Cosan SA and Thai Oil Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cosan SA and Thai Oil

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cosan SA and Thai Oil positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cosan SA position performs unexpectedly, Thai Oil can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Thai Oil will offset losses from the drop in Thai Oil's long position.
The idea behind Cosan SA ADR and Thai Oil PCL pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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